Lloyds’ dividend under threat from stress tests

The Bank of England has banks Finance examined to see how they do against a fictitious economic collapse and could banks say give less money to the shareholders

Lloyds could have to curb stress tests in their distributions as a result of the Bank of England, when the regulators to order the Bank to further expand its financial resources.Officials examining the seven largest banks in the country to see how they would cope with starting a fictitious economy crash in China and other emerging markets and the spread around the world. The results of the annual audit will be published on Tuesday.
All banks are expected to pass the test without additional capital raising, but they could be told to limit their dividend payments, to ensure that they continue to be in the future of the much tougher stress tests build up their buffers to put them in the coming years ,Lloyds Banking Group is thought to be the most likely victims, while the investors may need to cut back expectations of dividends in the coming years with Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland.

Standard Chartered and HSBC have the biggest operations in the emerging markets and is to take a big hit, but they are already in a relatively strong position and will take further steps to improve their finances. Standard Chartered is currently receiving raising more capital and HSBC Finance a boost from the sale of the Brazilian operations next year. As a result, they are unlikely said, is to do more.
"We think that you have a certain pressure on investment income, especially for the banks in the hope of return, which has been marked as surplus capital to shareholders," said analyst Peter Richardson of Berenberg."Our view is that any excess capital, and it will grow up to the regulator as to build additional buffers security there."
Investors currently expect Lloyds, a dividend of 2.5pc for 2015, believes Mr Richardson, may be that will be cut to pay 1.5pc. The Bank only restart a dividend this year.He expected that the stress test, a great influence on the trading books investment banks that violate Barclays and possibly lead to the dividend in 2016 need to trim.

Barclays Chief Executive, Jes Staley, take up its duties on the same day as the tests will be published, and as a result any sign of weakness could set the tone for his first months in office, and may lead to harsher cuts in investment banking.While the markets are well aware, this year's stress test in the Focus of China, it takes also factored in a major British crash.

The hypothetical crash simulates a recession lasting for almost two years, where inflation spirals upwards and unemployment is 11pc - far worse than the reality of unemployment 8.4pc seen during the financial crisis.It is also to simulate property prices fall to their lowest level since 2002 can be seen, putting a strain on banks loan books, share prices to fall the level of 2009, and the Bank of England base rate rises from 0.5pc more than 4pc.

Last year's stress test was centered around a resident in the UK housing crash. The only bank to fail outright was the Co-operative Bank, which will not come this year because they. Already going through a major restoration process.The 2016 tests are expected to simulate a US economic crash, the focus to another part of the banking operations.